A COVID-19 Retrospective for Alberta

Michelle Maroto | University of Alberta | maroto@ualberta.ca
Lisa Young | University of Calgary | lisa.young@ucalgary.ca

March 20, 2023

COVID-19 Retrospective

On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic. In the three years since that declaration, many aspects of Albertans’ lives have changed. Over 5,500 Albertans have died of the virus. Many more have been infected with it, once or more. Some experienced mild illness and recovered completely. Others were very ill and over 34,000 required hospitalization. Today, many also live with the long-term consequences of Long COVID. Pressures on the healthcare system have affected access to care for non-COVID-19 illnesses.

The effects of the pandemic extend beyond health care. Albertans also experienced changes to their employment, their education, and their leisure activities as public health measures closed some organizations, moved others online, and placed restrictions on certain forms of interaction.

In light of these larger changes, we analyze data from the January 2023 Alberta Viewpoint survey to understand what COVID-19 has meant for the finances and health of Albertans, three years into the global pandemic. We also discuss Albertans’ views regarding whether and how the pandemic has divided the province.

How has COVID-19 affected the finances and health of Albertans?

Figure 1 presents results from a question asking respondents to compare their current financial situations, physical health, and mental health to the way things were before the COVID-19 pandemic. Across all three dimensions, the most frequent response was that there had been no change. Among those who did report change, it was substantially more likely to be negative than positive.

Figure 1: Change in Albertans’ finances, physical health, mental health since March 2020

SOURCE: AB Viewpoint Survey Jan. 2023 (N = 1215)

NOTES: Estimates based on weighted survey data. Responses to the question: “Comparing each of these elements [financial situation, physical health, and mental health] of your life today to the way it was before the COVID-19 pandemic, would you say you are worse off, about the same or better off?”

Comparing their financial situations over time, 49% of Albertans reported that their financial situations had worsened over the pandemic, 36% reported no change, and 16% saw some improvements in their situations. Many Albertans also experienced declines in their physical and mental health; 35% reported worsening physical health and 43% reported worsening mental health.

Combining these responses, we find that only 35% of respondents reported that all three dimensions were unchanged or better. The remaining 65% reported that at least one of the three dimensions - financial, physical or mental health - was worse. Just under 20% reported that all three dimensions were worse.

These outcomes further varied across groups. Figure 2 presents the percentages of respondents who reported worsening financial, physical, and mental health over the course of the pandemic broken down by gender, education, race, location, generation, and the presence of children in the household. Figure 3 further describes respondents’ worsening financial, physical, and mental health by political affiliation and ideology.

Figure 2 shows that these outcomes varied across certain demographic groups. Gender, education, race, and generation were associated with worsening outcomes. Women were more likely than men to report worsening mental health; 47% of women reported worse mental health compared to 38% of men. Individuals with less than a university-level education were more likely to report worsening financial situations, physical health, and mental health when compared to individuals with a university degree or higher. Differences across racial and ethnic groups appeared in terms of physical health. Racial minority respondents were 12 percentage points more likely to report worse physical health than White respondents. Finally, across generations, older adults tended to fare better in regard to mental health outcomes. Members of the Silent or Boomer generations -- individuals born before 1965 -- were less likely than Gen Z members -- those born since 1995 -- to report worsening mental health. Fifty-two percent of Gen Z adults reported worsening health compared to only 31% of those in the Silent and Boomer generations.

Expanding on these differences, Figure 3 shows that outcomes also varied by party affiliation and political ideology. In this case, party affiliation refers to individual identification with a specific party, and political ideology refers to where individuals placed themselves on a scale ranging from very left-wing to very right-wing.

Compared to individuals who identify with the UCP, NDP supporters and respondents who did not indicate a party affiliation were less likely to report worsening financial situations by 16 and 18 percentage points, respectively. Respondents who identified with other parties, which could include the Liberal, Alberta, Green or Wildrose parties, were 12 percentage points or 40% more likely than UCP supporters to report worsening physical health outcomes. Finally, NDP supporters were 9 percentage points or 22% more likely than UCP supporters to report worse mental health as a result of the pandemic.

With respect to political ideology, differences were most apparent toward the ends of this distribution when comparing far right with center left and far left positions. Individuals with far right political positions were less likely than those with far left political positions to experience worsening financial situations throughout the pandemic. However, they were more likely than center left respondents to report worsening physical and mental health over the course of the pandemic.

Figure 2: Percentages reporting worsening finances, physical health, and mental health across demographic groups

SOURCE: AB Viewpoint Survey Jan. 2023 (N = 1215)

NOTES: Estimates and 95% confidence intervals based on weighted survey data. Asterisks (*) indicate statistically significant differences for at least the p < 0.05 level.

Figure 4: Perceptions of mobility and views of future over time

SOURCE: AB Viewpoint Survey Jan. 2023 (N = 1215)

NOTES: Estimates and 95% confidence intervals based on weighted survey data. Asterisks (*) indicate statistically significant differences for at least the p < 0.05 level.

Has COVID divided Albertans? 

In addition to asking Albertans about how they perceived the pandemic affected their own finances and health, we asked for their assessment of how the pandemic affected the province collectively: did it leave Alberta more united or more divided? 

In the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic, Albertans often heard the phrase “we’re all in this together.” In the months that followed, public opinion about pandemic restrictions, the safety of vaccinations and other pandemic-related issues became more divided. Over the three years between March 2020 and March 2023, Albertans saw numerous protests both for and against pandemic mandates, sharp differences across party lines, and divisions within the governing United Conservative Party caucus.  

Looking back over the three years of the pandemic, a large majority of respondents to the January 2023 Alberta Viewpoint Survey believe the pandemic divided the province. When asked the question, “Comparing Alberta today to before the COVID-19 pandemic, would you say the province is more divided, about the same, or more united?” 32% said they thought the province was much more divided, and 40% thought it was somewhat more divided, with 20% saying they thought there was no change. Only 8% said they thought the province was somewhat or much more united (Figure 4).

Figure 4: Is Alberta More Divided or United Since COVID-19?

SOURCE: AB Viewpoint Survey Jan. 2023 (N = 1227)

NOTES: Estimates based on weighted survey data. “Comparing Alberta today to before the COVID-19 pandemic, would you say the province is more divided, about the same, or more united?”

Figure 5 further compares these views across different demographic groups. It shows a remarkable absence of differences across various demographics, with no significant differences across gender, education, location or generation. Respondents living in a household with children were less likely than those without children in the home to think the province had become more divided over the three years of the pandemic.

White respondents were also more likely to perceive that the province had become more divided over the three years of the pandemic, with 77% saying they believed the province was more divided. Only 66% of racial minority respondents indicated that they thought the province was more divided, and 12% said they thought it was more united. The Black Lives Matter movement gained considerable momentum during the years of the pandemic, focusing attention on questions of equity, diversity, inclusion and decolonization in many organizations. 

SOURCE: AB Viewpoint Survey Jan. 2023 (N = 1161)

NOTES: Estimates based on weighted survey data. “Comparing Alberta today to before the COVID-19 pandemic, would you say the province is more divided, about the same, or more united?” Grouped by gender, education, race, location, generation, and the presence of children in the household. 

Although there were few differences across demographic characteristics, party identification and political ideology were both associated with perceptions of division and unity. Figure 6 shows that respondents who identify with the Alberta NDP were more likely to perceive greater division, while those who identify with the UCP or have no party identification were less likely to perceive greater division. Those who identify with the UCP also stood out as being more likely to perceive greater unity, with 11% indicating they thought unity had increased over the period of the pandemic. Similarly, those who located themselves at the center of the political spectrum stood out as being less likely to perceive division and more likely to see no change.

SOURCE: AB Viewpoint Survey Jan. 2023 (N = 1161)

NOTES: Estimates based on weighted survey data. “Comparing Alberta today to before the COVID-19 pandemic, would you say the province is more divided, about the same, or more united?” Grouped by party affiliation and political ideology.

Figure 6: Views on a More Divided Alberta across Party Affiliation and Political Ideology

SOURCE: AB Viewpoint Survey Jan. 2023 (N = 1161)

NOTES: Estimates based on weighted survey data. “Comparing Alberta today to before the COVID-19 pandemic, would you say the province is more divided, about the same, or more united?” Grouped by vaccination status and restriction views. 

Conclusion 

What has changed for Albertans since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020? When asked to reflect on changes throughout the pandemic, almost half of the respondents to the January 2023 Alberta Viewpoint survey reported that they experienced worsening financial situations, 35% reported worsening physical health, and 43% reported worsening mental health. Comparing different groups, however, shows that these struggles -- particularly in terms of mental health -- tended to be greater for women, individuals with less education, and younger adults. An overwhelming majority of respondents also believe that the province has become more divided since March 2020, further emphasizing that we haven’t all “been in this together” over the past three years.  

Methodology of the Viewpoint Alberta Survey

The Viewpoint Alberta Survey was conducted between January 17 and February 9, 2023. The survey was deployed online by Leger. A copy of the survey questions can be found here: https://bit.ly/3Tk8Hpl. Leger co-ordinates the survey with an online panel system that targets registered panelists that meet the demographic criteria for the survey. Survey data is based on 1,227 responses with a 15-minute average completion time. Split samples were employed for certain survey questions. The Viewpoint Alberta Survey was led by co-principal investigators Michelle Maroto, Feodor Snagovsky, Jared Wesley, and Lisa Young. It was funded in part by a grant from the Kule Institute for Advanced Study (KIAS) at the University of Alberta.

Figure 3: Comparisons across political affiliation groups (Percentage in each category reporting worsening finances, physical health, mental health)

Figure 5: Views on a More Divided Alberta across Groups

Figure 7: Views on a More Divided Alberta by Vaccination Status and Views on COVID-19 Restrictions